Wednesday, August 15, 2012

MSM Malaysia Holdings: Maintain Hold - 2Q12: Below expectation

2Q12: Below expectation
  • Weighed down by volumes and cost. MYR112.7m 1H12 core net profit (-19.3% YoY) after excluding non-cash items was below ours and consensus, at 40% of our full-year forecast. Sugar volume sold was lower YoY due to weaker demand from industrial customers.
  • On a plus side, the interim DPS of 11 sen suggests that management is adopting a 65% payout ratio (from 50% formerly). We lowered our earnings forecast, but maintain the stock at a Hold with a higher target price of MYR4.70/share (from MYR4.10).
  • We value this stock on DDM and the higher payout ratio of 65% votes favourably on the stock’s fair value.
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Source: Maybank Research - 15 August 2012

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