Wednesday, June 13, 2012

Plantation: Maintain Neutral - Early Indication of a Slow Recovery

Earnings growth may only be visible in 2H12. The key takeaway from the May 2012 MPOB statistics is that Malaysia's CPO production fell 16.8% and 20.6% YoY respectively in Apr-May (but rose 5.1% to 8.7% MoM). Coupled with weaker CPO ASPs of MYR3,295/t (-1.6% YoY) for the 2Q to 11 Jun and a weak spot price of ~MYR3,000/t, 2Q12 earnings of plantation groups are likely to stay weak YoY (but be relatively stronger QoQ). Maintain Neutral on the sector. Top BUYs are Ta Ann and SOP for their attractive valuations and growth prospects.

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Source: Maybank Research - 13 June 2012

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