KSL (BUY çè)
Warrants to start trading on Friday
§ Recall that on 21 Mar 2011, KSL announced a renounceable rights issue of up to 97.6m new warrants on a 1 for 4 basis
§ The rights for the KSL warrants will begin trading from July 29th until Aug 5th, and the warrants will be listed on Aug 26th.
§ We estimate the fair value of the warrants to be RM0.56, and we believe that any trading price below RM0.36 for the rights will be a good opportunity for investors to buy the rights.
§ While we estimate as much as 17% dilution to EPS upon full conversion of the warrants, this does not affect our positive earnings outlook for KSL, especially given that their flagship project in Klang remains on-track.
§ No change to our target price of RM2.16 (based on 30% discount to FD RNAV) or our earnings forecasts.
FBM KLCI - Wild swings ahead
§ In the wake of overnight Dow's plunge and the violation of 10-d (1565), 30-d (1571) and 50-d (1562) SMAs, there is greater pressure now that KLCI may retest last week's low of 1552 pts, and exert more selling force towards 1543 pts and 1536 (50% FR from 1474-1597) pts. Upside resistance levels are the 1565-1575 levels.
Dow Jones: - Crucial uptrend line support near 12100 pts
§ The Dow already lost 3.3% or 422 pts in four consecutive sessions, as investors were grappled with a tug of war between the headline risk of the debt ceiling issue and better-than-expected 2Q11 earnings.
§ As technical indicators are trending lower, we could witness more selldown towards 12100 pts, a major uptrend line support since Jul 2011. Further support is 11966 (200-d SMA).
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